With the Omicron wave of COVID-19 sweeping the nation, we beforehand calculated the quantity of people that weren’t updated with vaccination in weak areas as of June 2, 2022. Particularly, we checked out counties categorized by the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention (CDC) has having “medium” or “excessive” COVID-19 group ranges, signifying not solely that new COVID instances had been on the rise but additionally strains on hospital capability. Since then, the BA.5 Omicron variant, which seems to be much more contagious and is ready to evade prior immunity, has turn into dominant, driving up instances and hospitalizations even additional.
Now, lower than two months later, the share of the inhabitants residing in medium or excessive group stage counties and the variety of folks in these counties who will not be updated on vaccination have grown considerably; as well as, most who will not be updated are actually residing in counties with excessive group ranges. We offer an replace right here, as of July 21, 2022.
- The share of the U.S. inhabitants residing in counties with medium or excessive COVID-19 group ranges is 87% or 283 million folks. That is up from 55% of the inhabitants (180 million folks) in early June. Additionally, in distinction to early June, most individuals reside in excessive group stage counties (61% of the whole inhabitants now in comparison with 21% in early June).
- The variety of folks not updated on vaccination in weak counties has jumped to 198 million, up from 120 million. This represents a 65% enhance since June 2. Most of those people (139 million) dwell in counties with excessive group ranges, representing a rise from simply 46 million folks in such counties in early June. The share of these not updated on vaccination residing in excessive stage counties has additionally grown, from 20% in early June to 70% now.
- Of the 198 million not updated on vaccination in medium and excessive group stage counties:
- 73 million are unvaccinated, together with 50.4 million residing in counties with excessive COVID-19 group ranges (up from 14 million in excessive stage counties in early June).
- 29.8 million are partially vaccinated, together with 20.9 million who’re in excessive stage counties (up from 8 million).
- 95.4 million are vaccinated however not but boosted, together with 67.7 million in excessive stage counties (up from 25 million).
Most Individuals will not be updated with their COVID-19 vaccines. As of July 21, 2022, 227.8 million Individuals (70%) had been unvaccinated, had not accomplished their major collection, or had not gotten a booster dose. In every state, not less than half the inhabitants just isn’t updated on COVID-19 vaccines. In Alabama, North Carolina, and Virginia, over 80% of individuals are not but updated on COVID-19 vaccines.
In simply a short while, with the unfold of the most recent COVID-19 Omicron variant, the variety of folks within the U.S. who’re significantly weak to the impacts of COVID-19, as a result of they aren’t updated on vaccination and dwell in weak counties, has grown significantly, rising from 120 million in early June to 198 million now. Furthermore, a fair higher share of individuals now dwell in counties with excessive group ranges. Probably the most weak amongst them – those that stay unvaccinated and dwell in counties with excessive group ranges – has grown from 14 million to 50.4 million.
CDC recommends that each one folks masks indoors in areas which have excessive COVID-19 group ranges, and that folks residing in medium-level counties masks primarily based on their private threat, however most jurisdictions and amenities don’t require masking. These up to date knowledge illustrate how shortly the present wave is spreading and rising threat throughout the nation. These knowledge underscore the numerous vulnerability to COVID-19 sickness that also exists right now, greater than a 12 months since vaccines turned broadly obtainable within the U.S. to most individuals. As such, they level to the significance of different public well being measures, resembling masking and testing, along with vaccination, in lots of components of the nation.
|COVID-19 Group Degree: COVID-19 group stage knowledge had been sourced from the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention (CDC) “United States COVID-19 Group Ranges by County,” utilizing knowledge launched on July 21, 2022. Counties missing a COVID-19 group stage had been excluded.
COVID-19 Vaccinations: County-level knowledge on COVID-19 vaccinations had been sourced from the CDC “COVID-19 Vaccinations in america, County” utilizing knowledge reported as July 20, 2022. Solely knowledge from the 50 states and District of Columbia had been included (knowledge from territories had been excluded as territories will not be included within the COVID-19 group stage dataset). Counties missing any vaccination knowledge had been additionally excluded from this evaluation. In some instances, the residence county is unknown, and due to this fact these vaccination knowledge can’t be attributed to a particular county. Nonetheless, for states the place just one COVID-19 group stage was potential as of July 20, 2022, particularly, the District of Columbia (Medium), Maine (Low), and Rhode Island (Low), vaccination knowledge with unknown county data however attributed to those states had been coded because the corresponding COVID-19 group stage. Different vaccination knowledge with out county data and never attributed to those states had been excluded from the evaluation (accounting for about 13 million folks). For that reason, we’re probably overestimating the variety of folks not updated on vaccination. We outline updated on COVID-19 vaccination as individuals who have accomplished a major collection and obtained a booster (besides for kids below age 5 who’re thought of to be updated with major collection COVID-19 vaccination). We calculate the quantity not updated on COVID-19 vaccination as inhabitants in every county minus individuals who obtained major collection and booster. We calculate the variety of unvaccinated folks because the distinction between the county inhabitants and the quantity of people that have obtained not less than a primary dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. In a number of counties the place the inhabitants estimate exceeds the quantity of people that have obtained a primary dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, the variety of unvaccinated people is assumed to be 0. We calculate people who find themselves partially vaccinated because the distinction between the quantity of people that accomplished a major collection and those that obtained not less than one dose. We calculate the variety of those that have accomplished a major collection however not obtained a booster because the distinction between the quantity of people that have accomplished a major collection and the quantity of people that have obtained a booster dose. Though the CDC now recommends that each one immunocompromised people and other people over the age of fifty obtain a second booster dose, there are at present no county-level knowledge obtainable on the variety of booster doses obtained. Due to this fact, we’re unable to seize what number of people are absolutely updated on COVID-19 vaccines. Moreover, youngsters below 5 years of age have just lately turn into eligible to obtain COVID-19 vaccination. Kids on this age group which have obtained a primary dose are thought of to be partially vaccinated.